A PSWEB-L ResearchWeb
Foreign Policy Events Data Analysis
References & Bibliography
by Christopher L. Campbell & Robert D. Duval
West Virginia University
 
 
 
This page still under construction. 
If you have or know of other references for this bibliography, please let us know 
 
Adelman, 1994 
 
Adelman, H. (1994). Theoretical Approaches to Developing an Early Warning Model. The Journal of Ethno-Development. Special Issue on Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises. 
Alker Jr., 1989 
 
Alker, Hayward R. (1989). Towards Globalized Events Data Research on Avoidable War.
Alker Jr., 1993a 
 
Alker, Hayward R.  (1993a). Making Peaceful Sense of the News: Institutionalizing International Conflict-Management Event Reporting Using Frame-Based Interpretive Routines. In [Merritt et al., 1993b].
Alker Jr., 1993b Alker, Hayward R.  (1993b). Towards an Early Warning System: Report from the Phase 3, May 27-28, 1993 Workshop Centre for Refugee Studies. Tech. rept. MIT, Cambridge, MA.
Alker Jr., 1994 
 
Alker, Hayward R. (1994).  Early Warning Models and/or Preventive Information Systems? Pages 117-123 of: The Journal of Ethno-Development. Special Issue on Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises.
Alker and Midlarsky, 1985 
 
Alker, Hayward R. , & Midlarsky, Manus I.  (1985). International Disputes Data: A Comparison of Approaches and Products, With Some Recommendations for the Future. ISQ Notes, 12(1).
Alker, et al., 1991 
 
Alker, Hayward R. , Gavan Duffy, Roger Hurwitz,and John C. Mallery. (1991).  Text Modeling for International Politics: A Tourist's Guide to RELATUS.  In [Hudson, 1991].
Andriole, 1993 
 
Andriole, S. J.  (1993).  Information Management Support for International Negotiations. Systems Support for International Negotiation: Implications for Application, Theory and Decision, 34(3), 313-328. 
Andriole and Hopple, 1988 
 
Andriole, Stephen J., & Gerald W. Hopple W. (eds).  (1988). Defense Applications and Artificial Intelligence. Lexington, Mass.: Lexington Books.
Azar, 1980 
 
Azar, Edward E.  (1980).  The Conflict and Peace Data Bank (COPDAB) Project. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 24(1), 143-152.
Azar, 1982 Azar, Edward E.  (1982). The Codebook of the Conflict and Peace Data Base.  College Park: Center of International Development, University of Maryland.
Azar and Sloan, 1975 Azar, Edward E. and Thomas Sloan.  (1975).  Dimensions of Interactions.  Pittsburgh: University Center for International Studies, University of Pittsburgh
Bloomfield, 1988  Bloomfield, Lincoln P.  (1988).  Computerizing Conflicts. Foreign Service Journal, June.
Bloomfield and Moulton, 1989 Bloomfield, Lincoln P., and Allen Moulton.  (1989) (Jan.). CASCON III - Computer-Aided System for Analysis of Local Conflicts.  Center for International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Mass.
Bloomfield and Moulton, 1991 Bloomfield, Lincoln P., and Allen Moulton.  (1991).  Analyzing the Coding of Cases - Addendum to CASCON III Manual.
Bond, Shin-wha Lee, and Rothkin, 1995 Bond, Doug, Shin-wha Lee, and Karen Rothkin.  (1995). "PANDA's Early Warnings on Conflict."  Presented at the International Studies Association annual meeting, Chicago, Feb.
Bonham, 1993 
 
Bonham, G. M.  (1993).  Cognitive Mapping as a Technique for Supporting International Negotiation.  Systems Support for International Negotiation: Implications for Application, Theory and Decision, 34(3), 255-274.  Special Issue.
Burgess and Layton, 1972 Burgess, P.M. and R.W. Layton (1972) Indicators of International Behavior: An Assessment of Events Data Research. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage. 
Daly and Andriole, 1980 Daly, J.A. and S.J. Andriole (1980) The Use of Events/Interaction Research by the Intelligence Community. Policy Sciences 12:215-236.
Davies, 1994 
 
Davies, John L.  (1994).  Event Data and Software for Early Warning. Pages 72-76 of: The Journal of Ethno-Development.  Special Issue on Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises.
Davies, 1991 
 
Davies, John L.  (1991).  The Global Event-Data System: Coder's Manual.  Center for International Development and Conflict Management, University of Maryland.
Davies and McDaniel, 1991  Davies, John L. and Chad K.McDaniel.  (1991).  The Global Event-Data System.  Paper presented at the Thirty-Second Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Vancouver, B.C., Canada
Davies and McDaniel, 1993 
 
Davies, John L. and Chad K.McDaniel.  (1993).  The Global Event-Data System. In: [Merritt et al., 1993b].
Davies and McDaniel, 1996 Davies, John L. and Chad K. McDaniel.  (1996).  "Dynamic Data for Early Warning of Ethnopolitical Conflict."  Presented at the International Studies Association, San Diego, April.
Dixon, 1988 Dixon, W.J. 1988. The discrete sequential analysis of dynamic international behavior. Quality and Quantity, 22:239-54. 
Duffy, 1994 Duffy, Gavan, ed.  (1994)  "New Directions in Event Data Analysis" [special issue]. International interactions 20 (1-2).
Duval and Thompson, 1980 Duval, Robert D. and William R. Thompson.  (1980)  Reconsidering the Aggregate Relationships Between Size, Economic Development, and Some Types of Foreign Policy Activity. American Journal of Political Science, 24 (August): 511-525. 
Freeman, Williams, and Lin, 1989 Freeman, John R., John T. Williams, and Tse-min Lin.  (1989). "Vector Autoregression and the Study of Politics."  American Journal of Political Science 33: 842-77.
Gerner and Schrodt, 1994  Gerner, D. J., & Schrodt, Philip A.  (1994).  Foreign Policy Interactions in the Middle East: An Initial Examination of Three Cases of Conflict.  Dept. of Political Sciences, University of Kansas, Paper prepared for presentation at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, March 29 - April 1.
Gerner, Schrodt, Francisco, and Weddle, 1994 Gerner, Deborah J., Philip A. Schrodt, Ronald A. Francisco, and Judith L. Weddle.  (1994).  "The Analysis of Political Events Using Machine Coded Data." I nternational Studies Quarterly 38:91 -l l9.
Gochman and Maoz, 1984 Gochman,Charles S. and Zeev Maoz.  (1984).  "Militarized InterstateDisputes, 1816-1976:  Procedures, Patterns, Insights."  Journal of Conflict Resolution 29, 4: 585-615. 
Goldstein, 1992 Goldstein, Joshua S.  (1992).  "A Conflict-Cooperation Scale for WEIS International Events Data," Journal of Conflict Resolution 36 (2): 369-385.
Goldstein and Freeman, 1990 Goldstein, Joshua S. and John R. Freeman.  (1990). Three-Way Street: Strategic Reciprocity in World Politics. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Goldstein and Freeman, 1991 Goldstein, Joshua S. and John R. Freeman.  (1991). "US-Soviet-Chinese Relations: Routine, Reciprocity, or Rational Expectations?"  American Political Science Review 85: 17- 35.
Goldstein and Pevehouse, 1997 Goldstein, Joshua S. and Jon C. Pevehouse.  (1997). 'Reciprocity, Bullying, and International Cooperation: Time-Series Analysis of the Bosnia Conflict."  American Political Science Review, (September).
Gurr, 1994 
 
 Gurr, T. R.  (1994).  Testing and Using a Model of Communal Conflict for Early Warning.  Pages 20-24 of: The Journal of Ethno-Development.  Special Issue on Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises.
Gurr and Harff, 1994 Gurr, T. R., & Harff, B.  (1994).  Conceptual, Research, and Policy Issues in Early Warning Research:  An Overview. Pages 3-14 of: The Journal of Ethno-Development.  Special Issue on Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises.
Howell and Barnes, 1993 Howell, Llewlyn and Gillian Barnes.  (1993).  "Event Data for Region Specific Interactions: A Research Note on Source Coverage."  In Richard L. Merritt, Robert G. Muncaster, and Dina A. Zinnes, eds.  International Event Data Developments: DDIR Phase 11.  Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Howell, Groves, Morita, and Mullen, 1986 Howell, I.D., S. Groves, E. Morita, and J. Mullen (1986) Changing Priorites: Putting the Data Back into Event Data Analysis. Paper presented at the Ammual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Anaheim, California. 
Hudson, 1987 
 

 

 

Hudson, Valerie M.  (1987).  Using a Rule-Based Productions System to Estimate Foreign Policy Behavior: Conceptual Issues and Practical Concerns. in [Cimbala, 1987].
Hudson, 1991 
 
Hudson, Valerie M.  (1991).  Artificial Intelligence and International Politics. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
Huxtable and Pevehouse, 1996 Huxtable, Phillip A. and Jon C. Pevehouse.  (1996).  "Potential Validity Problems in Events Data Collection."  International Studies Notes 21 (2):  8-19. 
Job and Johnson, 1991 
 
Job, B. L., & Johnson, D.  (1991).  UNCLESAM:  The Application of a Rule-Based Model of U.S. Foreign Policy Making.  In: [Hudson, 1991].
King, 1989 King, Gary. 1989. Event count models for international relations: Generalizations and applications. International Studies Quarterly 33:123-47.
Kurth, 1994 
 
 Kurth, S.  (1994).  Real-Time Test Cases for Early Warning. Pages 77-78 of:  The Journal of Ethno-Development.  Special Issue on Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises.
Laurance, 1990 Laurance, E. J.  (1990).  Events Data and Policy Analysis: Improving the Potential for Applying Academic Research to Foreign and Defense Policy Problems.  Policy Sciences 23 (2): 111-32.
Lemke, 1995 Lemke, Douglas.  (1995).  "Toward a General Understanding of: Parity and War." Conflict Mimeo Amount and Peace Science 14:  143 -62.
Lemke, 1996 Lemke, Douglas.  (1996).  "Small States and War: An Expansion of Power Transition Theory."  In Jacek Kugler and Douglas Lemke, eds. Parity and War: Evaluations and Extensions of The War Ledger.  Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Leng, 1987 
 
Leng, Russel J.  (1987).  Behavioral Correlates of War, 1816-1975. (ICPSR 8606).  Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research.
Leng, 1991 
 

 

 

Leng, Russel J.  (1991).  Automated and Machine-Assisted Coding of Event Data: The BCOW Approach.  Paper prepared for presentation at the Convention of the International Studies Association, March 20-26, 1991, Vancouver, B.C.
Leng, 1993a Leng, Russell J.  (1993a).  "Reciprocating Influence Strategies in Interstate Crisis Bargaining."  Journal of Conflict Resolution 37:  3-41.
Leng, 1993b 
 
Leng, Russel J.  (1993b).  Automated and Machine-Assisted Coding of Event Data: BCOW Approach. In: [Merritt et al., 1993b].
Leng, 1995 Leng, Russell J.  (1995).  Interstate Crisis Behavior, 1816-1980:  Realism versus Reciprocity.  New York:  Cambridge University Press.
Lorenz, 1992 Lorenz, Joseph P.  (1992).  "Collective Security After the Cold War," in Resolving Third World Conflict: Challenges for a New Era, ed. Sheryl J. Brown and Kimber M. Schraub.  Washington, DC:  U.S. Institute of Peace.
Mallery, 1993 
 
Mallery, John C.  (1993).  Beyond Correlation: Bringing Artificial Intelligence to Events Data.  Political Science Department and AI Lab, MIT, Cambridge, MA. prepared for the 1st Vienna Workshop on the Potential Contribution of AI to the Avoidance of Conflict and War.
Mallery, 1994  Mallery, J. C.  (1994).  Beyond Correlation:  Bringing Artificial Intelligence to Events Data.  International Interactions, 20(1-2), 101-145.
McClelland, 1976 McClelland, Charles A.  (1976).  World Event/Interaction Survey Codebook. (ICPSR 5211).  Ann Arbor:  Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research.
Merritt et al., 1993a 
 
Merritt, Richard L., Robert G. Muncaster, and Dina A. Zinnes.  (1993a).  Event Data and DDIR.  In: [Merritt et al., 1993b].
Merritt, Muncaster, and Zinnes, Eds. 1993b Merritt, Richard L., Robert G. Muncaster, and Dina A. Zinnes, eds.  (1993b). International Event-Data Developments:  DDIR Phase II.  Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Morgan, 1996 Morgan, Patrick M.  (1996).  "The United States," in Coping with Conflict After the Cold War, ed. Edward A. Kolodziej and Roger E. Kanet.  Baltimore:  Johns Hopkins Univ. Press. 
 
Schrodt, 1986a 
 
Schrodt, Philip A.  (1986a).  Predicting International Events.  BYTE, November.
Schrodt, 1986b 
 
Schrodt, Philip A.  (1986b).  PWORLD:  A Precedent-Based Global Simulation. Social Science Computer Review.
Schrodt, 1987 
 
Schrodt, Philip A.  (1987).  Pattern Matching, Set Prediction, and Foreign Policy Analysis.  In: [Cimbala, 1987].
Schrodt, 1989 
 
Schrodt, Philip A.  (1989).  Short-term Prediction of International Behavior Using a Holland Classifier.  Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 12(4/5), 589-600.
Schrodt,  1990 Schrodt, Philip A.  (1990).  Parallel Event Sequences in International Crises. Political Behavior, 12(2), 97-123.
Schrodt, 1991a Schrodt, Philip A.  (1991a).  Artificial Intelligence and International Relations:  An Overview.  In: [Hudson, 1991].
Schrodt, 1991b 
 
Schrodt, Philip A.  (1991b).  Classification of Interstate Conflict Outcomes Using A Bootstrapped ID3 Algorithm.  Political Analysis.
Schrodt, 1991c Schrodt, Philip A.  (1991c).  Pattern Recognition of International Event Sequences: A Machine Learning Approach.  In: [Hudson, 1991].
Schrodt, 1992 
 
Schrodt, Philip A.  (1992).  Redefining Event Data:  Language, Coding and Sources.  Dept. of Political Sciences, University of Kansas.
Schrodt, 1993a Schrodt, Philip A.  (1993a).  Machine Coding of Event Data.  In: [Merritt et al., 1993b].
Schrodt, 1993b 
 
Schrodt, Philip A.  (1993b).  Patterns, Rules and Learning: Computational Models of International Behavior. University of Michigan Press.  Forthcoming.
Schrodt, 1995 Schrodt, Philip A.  (1995).  "Event Data in Foreign Policy Analysis," in Neack, Haney, and Hey, eds., Foreign Policy Analysis:  Continuity and Change in Its Second Generation.  Englewood Cliffs, NJ.  Prentice lIall.
Schrodt, 1995 Schrodt, Philip A.  (1995).  "KEDS: Kansas Event Data System Manual." University of Kansas.  Typescript. 
Schrodt, 1998 Schrodt, Philip.  (1998).  "Pattern Recognition of International Crises using Hidden Markov Models," in D. Richards, ed. Ion-linear Models and Methods in Political Science.  Ann Arbor:  Michigan Press.
Schrodt and Davis, 1994 Schrodt, Philip A., & Davis, Shannon G.  (1994).  Techniques and Troubles in the Machine Coding of International Event Data.  Dept. of Political Science, University of Kansas.  Paper presented at the 1994 meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington DC.
Schrodt, Davis, and Weddle, 1994 Schrodt, Philip A., Shannon G. Davis, and Judith L. Weddle.  (1994).  "Political Science:  KEDS- A Program for Machine Coding Events Data.''  Social Science Computer Review 12 (3):  561-88.
Schrodt and Gerner, 1993 Schrodt, Philip A.., & Gerner, Deborah J.  (1993).  Statistical Patterns in a Dense Events Data Set for the Middle East, 1982-1992.  Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, 15-17 April 1993, Chicago.
Schrodt and Gerner, 1994 Schrodt, Philip A. and Deborah J. Gerner.  (1994).  "Validity Assessment of a Machine-Coded Event Data Set for the Middle East, 1982-1992."  American Journal of Political Science 38: 825-54.
Schrodt and Gerner, 1995 Schrodt, Philip and Deborah Gerner.  (1995).  "Empirical Indicators of Crisis Phase in the Middle East, 1982- 1995,"  Journal of Conflict Resolution 41:  529-552.
Schrodt et al., 1992 
 
Schrodt, Philip A., Weddle, Judith L., Francisco, Ronald A., Gerner, Deborah J., & Pitner, Julia.  (1992).  Machine Coding of Event Data using International and Regional Sources.  Tech. Rept. Dept. of Political Science, University of Kansas, Lawrence.  Paper presented at the 1992 meeting of the International Studies Assiciation, Atlanta.
Seitz, 1993 
 
Seitz, Steven Thomas.  (1993).  Through Rose-Colored Glasses:  Computational Interpretations of Events.  In: [Merritt et al., 1993b].
Sherman, 1987a  Sherman, Frank L.  (1987a).  Four Major Traditions of Historical Events Research:  A Brief Comparison.  Prepared for a presentation at MIT/Center for International Studies, Conference on New Technologies for Storing, Indexing, Retrieving, Coding and Analyzing Information on International Events.
Sherman, 1988 
 
Sherman, Frank L.  (1988).  SHERFACS:  A New Cross-Paradigm, International Conflict Dataset.  Paper written for presentation at the 1988 annual meeting of the International Studies Association.
Sherman, 1992 
 
Sherman, Frank L.  (1992).  SHERFACS - Research Design, Operational Protocols, Data Representations and Paradox 4.0 Codebook.  Project Report Number 3.  Department of Political Science, Syracuse University, Syracuse, N.Y.
Sherman, 1994a 
 

 

 

Sherman, Frank L.  (1994a).  SHERFACS - List of SHERFACS Actors 1945 through 1984.  Project Report Number 1.2.  Department of Political Science, Syracuse University, Syracuse, N.Y.
Sherman, 1994b 
 
Sherman, Frank L.  (1994b).  SHERFACS - List of SHERFACS Cases:  Quarrels and Disputes. Project Report Number 2.3.  Department of Political Science, Syracuse University, Syracuse, N.Y.
Sherman, 1994d 
 
Sherman, Frank L.  (1994d).  (November).  SHERFACS - Research Design, Operational Protocols, Data Representations and Paradox 4.0 Database Codebook for SHERFACS 2.0.  Project Report Number 3.2.  Department of Political Science, Syracuse University, Syracuse, N.Y.
Sherman and Neack, 1993 
 
Sherman, Frank L., & Neack, Laura.  (1993).  Imagining the Possibilities:  The Prospects of Isolating the Genome of International Conflict from the SHERFACS Dataset.  In: [Merritt et al., 1993b].
Stein and Gross, 1996 U.P. Stein and Janice Gross.  (1996).  "Communications, Signaling, and Intelligence.' In Coping with Conflict After the Cold War, ed. Edward A. Kolodziej and Roger E. Kanet.  Baltimore:  Johns Hopkins University Press.
 Spencer, 1994 Spencer, W. J.  (1994).  Implications for Policy Use:  Policy Uses of Early Models and Data for Monitoring and Responding to Humanitarian Crises.  Pages 111-116 of: The Journal of Ethno-Development.  Special Issue on Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises.
Thorson and Andersen, 1987 Thorson, Stuart, & Andersen, Kristi.  (1987).  Computational Models, Expert Systems, and Foreign Policy.  In: [Cimbala, 1987].
Tomlinson, 1994 
 
Tomlinson, R. G.  (1994).  Converting Hindsight to Foresight, Building Theoretic Models of Genocides and Politicides:  Some Ideas from the World Events/Interaction Survey (WEIS).  Pages 44-55 of: The Journal of Ethno-Development.  Special Issue on Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises.
Tomlinson, 1993 
 
Tomlinson, Rodney G.  (1993).  Monitoring WEIS Event Data in Three Dimensions.  In: [Merritt et al., 1993b].
Unseld, 1993 
 
Unseld, Sigrid D.  (1993).  Exploration of International Relations Data:  An Object Oriented Approach.  Habilitationsschrift, Universität Zürich
Vertzberger, 1990 Vertzberger, Yaacov.  (1990).  The World In Their Minds:  Information Processing, Cognition, and Perception in Foreign Policy Decisionmaking. Stanford, Stanford University Press.
Vincent, 1983 Vincent, J.E. (1983). WEIS vs. COPDAB: Correspondence problems. International Studies Quarterly 27: 161-68. 
Vogele, 1994 
 
Vogele, William B.  (1994).  Global Conflict Profiles:  Event Data Analysis using PANDA.  Paper prepared for presentation at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New York City, Sep. 1994.
Wallensteen and Sollenberg, 1995 Wallensteen, Peter and Margareta Sollenberg.  (1995).  "After the Cold War: Emerging Patterns of Armed Conflict 1989-94."  Journal of Peace Research 32 (3), 1995: 345-60.
Ward, 1982 Ward, Michael. D. (1982). Cooperaton and conflict in foreign policy behavior. International Studies Quarterly 26:87-126. 
Waterman & Jenkins, 1986 
 
 Waterman, D., & Jenkins, B. M.  (1986).  Developing Expert Systems to Combat International Terrorism.  In:  Klahr, P., & Waterman, D. (eds), Expert Systems: Techniques, Tools and Applications.  Reading, MA:  Addison-Wesley.
 

Laurance, E.J. (1990) Events and Policy Analysis. Policy Sciences 23:111-132.
 
Peterson, S. (1975) "Research on Research: Events Data Studies, 1961-1972." In Sage International Yearbook on Foreign Policy Studies 3, edited by P.J. McGowan, pp. 263-309. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.